ISM_regression_chart
ISM surprise Line Fit Plot

SPY open-to-close return on ISM announcement date 0.0178571428571428 0.0330097087378641 -0.00754716981132073 -0.05 0.0258964143426294 0.00386847195357825 0.0191570881226054 0.012962962962963 0.0181818181818182 0.0303571428571429 0.00175131348511386 -0.0300884955752213 0.00365630712979882 0.0490018148820326 -0.0017730496453901 0.0407079646017699 0.0482758620689655 -0.0134453781512605 -0.00171526586620916 0.0257731958762887 0.0051020408163266 0.0357751277683134 -0.0116666666666667 -0.0205128205128206 0.0103270223752152 0.0343642611683849 -0.0218855218855218 0.064236111111111 -0.00664451827242534 -0.0220338983050847 0.0313043478260869 -0.0640138408304497 0.044280442804428 -0.0286738351254479 0.0146788990825688 -0.04 0.00549923488905901 0.00267481849445916 -0.00115106588701142 9.20090168836651E-5 -0.000185339634880877 -0.00901704785610302 -0.00525528926743079 0.000888730892285805 -0.00278197629843813 0.00583078149251226 -0.00199321458863444 0.0 0.00574451378270035 -0.00275856389986817 -0.000565747999676791 -0.000322684737011913 0.00330033003300323 -0.00213145248798641 -0.00113310167699054 0.00561421772754333 0.0018144946098837 -0.0136693563243803 -0.0193486954865739 0.00420661689468305 0.00436841525641496 0.00871952803235509 -0.00248614860065344 -0.000103505382279767 -0.00130087980555271 0.00703240058910159 -0.00349650349650332 -0.0161946581799137 -0.000333148250971638 -7.13165026386964E-5 0.00396909027046011 -0.00987377850162874 Predicted SPY open-to-close return on ISM announcement date 0.0178571428571428 0.0330097087378641 -0.00754716981132073 -0.05 0.0258964143426294 0.00386847195357825 0.0191570881226054 0.012962962962963 0.0181818181818182 0.0303571428571429 0.00175131348511386 -0.0300884955752213 0.00365630712979882 0.0490018148820326 -0.0017730496453901 0.0407079646017699 0.0482758620689655 -0.0134453781512605 -0.00171526586620916 0.0257731958762887 0.0051020408163266 0.0357751277683134 -0.0116666666666667 -0.0205128205128206 0.0103270223752152 0.0343642611683849 -0.0218855218855218 0.064236111111111 -0.00664451827242534 -0.0220338983050847Due 36 hrs; 11/13 10pm PT Timezone(los angeles)